韦相宇,田世祥,代张音,范芮雯

• 1:贵州大学矿业学院

摘要(Abstract)：

为了有效降低危化品公路运输事故风险，提高危化品运输安全管控能力，构建了含23个动、静态指标的危化品公路运输安全风险评估指标体系，采用组合权重对评估指标赋权；基于集对分析理论，对专家打分分值与组合权重深入分析，引入综合差异度系数的概念，确定模糊联系度，提出一种危化品公路运输安全风险评估方法；以西安某公司至上海的运输任务为例，进行实例应用。结果表明：除危化品因素外，其余一级指标均存在风险上升趋势，其中人员因素风险上升趋势尤其明显，危化品公路运输整体风险状态处于微反势9级，风险较大，与实际情况相符。所提方法可实现危化品公路运输动、静态风险评估，为危化品公路运输风险研究提供参考。

关键词(KeyWords)： 交通运输安全工程;公路运输管理;安全风险评估;危险化学品运输;集对分析法;组合权重;模糊联系度

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 贵州省科技支撑计划项目(黔科合支撑[2021]一般517)

作者(Author): 韦相宇,田世祥,代张音,范芮雯

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