基于AHP和模糊综合评价法的生态文旅景区运营安全风险评价Operational safety risk assessment of ecological cultural tourism scenic spots based on AHP and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method
孔志军,郭延辉,胡东平,饶碧玉
摘要(Abstract):
为了全面消除生态文旅景区的安全隐患,促进景区长期健康运营,以云南省昭通市镇雄县小山峡桃源谷景区的实际调研结果和文献资料为基础,采用层次分析法构建了包含景区安全管理、生态环境安全、景区基础设施和文化环境4个准则和25个下属指标的评价体系,通过计算权重对运营安全风险影响因素进行了排序,然后利用模糊综合评价法确定了安全风险等级。结果表明:景区基础设施对景区运营安全的影响较大,其次是生态环境安全和安全管理,影响最小的是文化环境。景区基础设施中,"游乐设施"和"消防设施"是景区运营安全的主要风险因素来源,其次是"土建系统""景区交通",最次要的为安全管理中的"信息交流"。景区整体运营系统的安全风险等级为3级,表示安全风险基本可以接受,部分需要改进。研究成果对景区运营的安全工作具有重要的参考价值,可有效提高景区安全应急处置的工作水平。
关键词(KeyWords): 风险评价与失效分析;生态文旅;景区运营;层次分析法;模糊综合评价
基金项目(Foundation): 云南省应用基础研究计划面上项目(2018FB075);; 中国博士后科学基金(2017M620433)
作者(Author): 孔志军,郭延辉,胡东平,饶碧玉
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